The Coalition’s Santiago Action Plan stresses the importance of incorporating climate change considerations into financial decisions and identifying risks climate change poses to financial stability. In this context, the Coalition produced this note on climate-related financial risk to raise awareness and explore risk management approaches. The findings of this note will be reviewed by Coalition Members with a view to identify policy priorities and potential areas for future work.

This note provides an overview of how climate-related risks may manifest in different sectors of the economy and alter macroeconomic conditions that affect the work and responsibilities of Ministries of Finance (MoFs). The interaction of various risks may lead to reinforcing feedback effects that could gradually or abruptly cause high fiscal costs and trigger contingent liabilities of MoFs with growing climate change. However, the materiality of these risks – posing potentially high ex-ante unknown fiscal costs for MoFs – depends on the interplay of climate-related risk transmission channels, the degree of unfavorable reinforcing feedback loops, the specific country context, and climate action measures.

Ambitious mitigation and adaptation measures could reduce the likelihood of severe climate-related risk impacts that could otherwise grow and potentially hinder countries’ long-term economic development. The note concludes with potential policy actions MoFs can take to mitigate and manage climate-related risks.

Download: Climate-Related Risks for Ministries of Finance: An Overview

Below is a key graphic from the report: 

Climate-related risk transmission channels and Ministries of Finance

Note: The figure shows the transmission of climate-related risks (physical or transition) to different sectors of the economy (including government fiscal risk) and the macroeconomy. The interaction of these risks may lead to reinforcing feedback effects – potentially triggering contingent liabilities of the MoF. Contingent liabilities are defined as obligations that only materialize when a certain event in the future occurs. Contingent liability risks could become gradually or abruptly more severe with ongoing climate change (depending on the specific country context), as indicated by the red “risk severity” arrow. However, the materiality of these risks, posing potentially high ex-ante unknown fiscal costs for MoFs, depends on the interplay of climate-related risk transmission channels, the degree of unfavorable reinforcing feedback loops, and climate action measures – as is indicated by the grey “risk materiality” arrow.

Source: Authors’ conceptualization adapted from NGFS (2020), Schuler et al. (2019), Volz et al. (2020) and IMF (2008)

On May 18, the Coalition hosted a stakeholder dialogue with Mark Carney (UN Special Envoy on Climate Action and Finance; Special Advisor for COP26; Vice Chair at Brookfield Asset Management; and former Governor of the Bank of England and Bank of Canada). Mr. Carney shared some of the key messages from his forthcoming book, Value(s): Building a Better World for All.

He discussed the widening gap between what people value and what markets value, and emphasized the importance of policies that enable value today to service the values of tomorrow. Mr. Carney discussed the power of markets and the role Ministries of Finance play in setting credible, predictable, long-term policy pathways that harness this power to drive the transition to net zero. Joaquim Levy (Director of Economic Strategy and Market Relations, Banco Safra Brazil; former Finance Minister of Brazil; Adviser, World Resources Institute) served as a discussant.

Coalition Members and Institutional Partners engaged with Mr. Carney in an open discussion about a broad range of topics, including voluntary carbon markets, institutional arrangements to support climate policies, international coordination on corporate climate risk disclosure, auditing, and blended finance. The discussion served as useful input to the Coalition’s evolving work program.

On Monday May 10, the Coalition hosted a workshop on Commitments and Measurement Methods for Private Sector Portfolio Alignment with the Paris Agreement. In the workshop, the findings from a recently finalized Coalition report were presented. The Summary for Policymakers and Presentation of Key findings are both available here.

Stefan Flückiger, Deputy State Secretary for International Finance, Switzerland and Marcel Beukeboom, Climate Envoy, the Netherlands spoke about their countries’ respective experiences encouraging financial institutions to commit to Paris Alignment, measuring their progress, and advancing portfolio and real world decarbonization. Jochem Wissenburg (Netherlands Ministry of Finance) and Florencia Baldi (Financial Centers for Sustainability) presented key findings from the Coalition report. Representatives from PACTA and PCAF presented their respective measurement tools and approaches. Finally, representatives from UBS and Amalgamated Bank spoke about their experiences using these measurement tools. Coalition members engaged in a discussion with these representatives and connections were made to facilitate bilateral experience sharing.

The Coalition will continue to advance knowledge and experience sharing on Paris Alignment commitments and measurement methods. The Summary for Policymakers suggests that Ministries of Finance and central banks, as well as international bodies such as the Coalition, have a role to play in fostering robust climate alignment initiatives and methodologies.

Recent analysis conducted under the Helsinki Principle 5 workstream of the Coalition of Finance Ministers for Climate Action looks at commitments and methods used by the private financial sector to align with the Paris Agreement goals and explores how Ministries of Finance can support these commitments. The Santiago Action Plan and the Coalition work program identify this as a priority topic. In this summary, written for policymakers, Jochem Wissenburg from the Ministry of Finance of the Netherlands, Florencia Baldi of the FC4S Network, and Emma Dalhuijsen and Samantha Power of the World Bank present some of the findings and suggest potential actions for government actors.

Financial institutions are joining a growing number of initiatives to align their lending and investment portfolios with the Paris Agreement goals. Individual institutions from all over the world are measuring climate impact and have set climate alignment targets. National initiatives in European, Latin American, and Asian countries have been established to advance climate-aligned and sustainable finance. Internationally, institutions are collaborating under initiatives such as the Net Zero Asset Owners Alliance, which aims to align portfolios with net-zero outcomes in the real sector by 2050. Nonetheless, implementation of such commitments remains challenging since methodologies to measure climate impact are still under development, compliance is not effectively controlled, adequate data is still lacking, and real world impact depends on a multitude of factors inside and outside of financial institutions’ remit.

This summary showcases different commitments that have been undertaken to illustrate approaches that financial institutions and governments are currently developing. It also assesses the characteristics of the different tools and methodologies for measuring Paris alignment. Finally, the summary makes suggestions for potential action policymakers can take at the international and national levels. Ministries of Finance (MoFs) and central banks, as well as international bodies such as the Coalition of Finance Ministers for Climate Action (‘the Coalition’), have a role to play in fostering robust climate alignment initiatives and methodologies.

• Download the Summary for Policymakers (PDF)
• Download the Presentation of Key Findings (PDF)

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Below: a table comparing different Paris Alignment methodologies adapted from the Summary for Policymakers note.

On Tuesday, April 27, the Coalition hosted a virtual ‘stakeholder dialogue’ with the Convention of Biological Diversity (CBD) Secretariat. Elizabeth Maruma Mrema, CBD Executive Secretary, and Basile Van Havre, CBD Co-Chair of the Open-Ended Working Group, provided an update on the economic and financial challenges associated with meeting global biodiversity goals, including mobilizing public and private resources.

They presented the draft post-2020 Global Biodiversity Framework and discussed efforts being taken to engage the financial sector in its implementation. Giovanni Ruta from the World Bank presented insights from the forthcoming report, ‘The Economic Case for Nature: A global earth economy model to assess development policy pathways.’

A discussion took place on the potential role of MoFs in meeting the targets laid out in the Global Biodiversity Framework. Coalition Members also discussed the potential to raise awareness of actions that can be taken at the climate-nature nexus and implications for the Coalition’s work. The Coalition co-chairs acknowledged that biodiversity has significant relevance to economic and financial stability. Climate change is contributing to the loss of biodiversity and natural systems, which is contributing to further climate change and compromising the resilience of countries to climate impacts.

The co-chairs acknowledged the Coalition should follow the work of the CBD as part of its effort to mainstream climate action into economic policies. Members of the Coalition are starting to look at how the policy levers they deploy can help to identify and manage climate- and nature-related financial risks and economic impacts.  

Above: screenshot from the joint workshop on March 25, 2021.

On March 25th, 2021, the Coalition of Finance Ministers for Climate Action organized a high-level workshop on green budgeting in co-operation with the OECD Paris Collaborative. Green budgeting is a key priority area on the Coalition’s agenda, and this is the third joint green budgeting event since the Coalition’s inception. The work builds on the various findings and discussions that have taken place at previous workshops and the efforts of the Institutional Partners (e.g. OECD, WB, IMF, UNDP), and provides a way forward for the Coalition’s work and all its member countries. 

The first session highlighted the latest developments on green budgeting, including the results from the 2020 OECD and European Commission – Joint Survey on Emerging Green Budgeting Practices. This was followed by a presentation to emphasize the importance of green recoveries and how green budget tagging can help identify relevant investments for long-term climate and environment objectives. The second session focused on the importance of macro-economic modelling in providing an analytical basis for policy designs and the assessment of economic, environmental, and climate effects. The third and final session looked at how countries can use different sets of approaches to build resilience to address national and global commitments, including Nationally Determined Contributions (NDCs), with highlights from Colombia and Grenada.

Presentations:

• Agenda
• Session 1: Latest Developments in Green Budgeting - Andrew Park (OECD)
• Session 2: The OECD Green Recovery Database - Andrew Prag (OECD)
• Session 2: Denmark Presentation - Mads Dalum Libergren (Denmark Ministry of Finance)
• Session 3: Grenada Presentation - Kelvin George (Grenada)
• Session 3: Colombia Presentation - Leonardo Buitrago (Colombia Ministry of Finance)
• Session 3: Climate Change Mainstreaming in Planning and Budgeting - Tom Beloe (UNDP)

Background Documents:

• Green Budgeting in OECD Countries
• Integrating Climate into Macroeconomic Modelling: Drawing in the Danish Experience

On March 16th, 2021, the Coalition of Finance Ministers for Climate Action co-organized an online event with the Nordic Investment Bank (NIB) titled “Debate: Path to Sustainable Recovery”.

The two-hour virtual debate addressed how countries can pursue a sustainable recovery in light of the ongoing pandemic and climate change challenges and was attended by over 350 people. The event included discussion on COVID-19 response in the Nordic-Baltic region and the role of International Financial Institutions (IFIs) and Multilateral Development Banks (MDBs) in sustainable recovery in a global context.

The event was opened by Mr. Matti Vanhanen, Finance Minister of Finland and Co-Chair of the Coalition.

Please find a link to the recording of the event here.

The Final Report of the Independent Review on the Economics of Biodiversity, led by Professor Sir Partha Dasgupta and commissioned by the UK government, was published in February 2021. The landmark report, which is also known as the Dasgupta Review, spans more than 600 pages and draws on public policy, science, economics, finance, and business.

The Review “calls for changes in how we think, act and measure economic success to protect and enhance our prosperity and the natural world. Grounded in a deep understanding of ecosystem processes and how they are affected by economic activity, the new framework presented by the Review sets out how we should account for Nature in economics and decision-making.” The Final Review comprises the Full Report, an Abridged Version, and Headline Messages, all of which are available here.

On Friday, March 12, 2021, the Coalition of Finance Ministers for Climate Action hosted Ant Parham and Emily McKenzie from Her Majesty’s Treasury, UK – both members of the Dasgupta Review team – who presented key findings from the Review.

The findings are of great relevance for Ministries of Finance, as they take steps to address the climate and biodiversity crises. Members of the Coalition discussed approaches Ministries of Finance can take to integrate biodiversity considerations into policy and practice based on experiences from mainstreaming climate change into economic and financial policies. They also discussed the need to explore potential actions at the nexus of climate and biodiversity, as well as how to manage the conservation of critical biodiversity and ecosystem services that are global public goods. Coalition Members agreed to explore how to integrate biodiversity in the workstreams of the six Helsinki Principle workstreams and determined that the Coalition can create value for its Member countries by providing an overview of the economic relevance of biodiversity loss.